Firstly I don't want to get into a knocking match on Dingle Distillery as I think it is wonderful to see and I am delighted by the news that it is going ahead and a wonderful thing for the Irish Whiskey sector. And if they sell all these it will be great for the company but in comparison to any other project they are frightfully expensive, which is disappointing and I honestly don't think they are a great investment. So I thought it was my duty to let people know it is not a guaranteed gilt edged investment. Certainly a great buy if your a whiskey enthusiast of which I would happily go along with but not an investment.
DavidH wrote:When the IWS participated in buying a cask it charged members €60 for each bottle. If there were a conservative 200 bottles in the cask that comes out at €12,000 for the cask. Your estimate, IWC, of €10,000 sounds like good value compared to this.
It actually will be closer to €12,000-13,000.
The casks we got for IWS were around the ten grand mark too (all in) and we did not get any deal as we pretty much paid a current retail price on the age of the whiskey. So I was trying to make the point they were selling theirs for more money but for a whiskey half the age. Further the 5 year mark (4-6year even) for whiskey is a funny time and can be quite unhinged/unbalanced so it is another risk element.
DavidH wrote:Another detail that Oliver Hughes told me at Whisky Live is that the distillery will buy the cask back from you at any time at the price you paid for it plus 4% per annum. (I hope I recall that percentage right; check with the distillery before making an investment.)
That is correct, I think the buy back scheme is probably the best option of making any money on these. But I'm not 100% sure on the figures and how they work. It says a total of 21.7%
gross after 5 years which equates to your 4% odd. Does Gross mean you have to pay other charges/taxes on that to get a net profit, It is not clear? Further I hate seeing quotes like "The Scheme therefore offers investors a
virtually risk free return of 4% p.a. That to me means there is some risk. There are plenty of banks offering similar returns on similar money so is it worth talking a RISK for the same money. So there is no real logical enticement to invest. People just need to know exactly what they are getting into.
DavidH wrote:There is also genuine rarity value here. Where else can you get your own cask of Irish whiskey, to be filled this year?
As I said rarity and increasing value do not go hand in hand and also remember there will possibly be 2 more boutique distilleries on the go within 12-24months too (Belfast and Derry). So we could have a multitude of "RARE" whiskey sloshing around the place which nobody wants to buy. So how much rare Irish whiskey are we going to have on a very small Irish Whiskey collectors Market will determine the value and not because someone says it's rare. Please see my reference to the rare and sublime Bushmills 25yo Millennium casks. I don't know of any other Bushmills 25yo out there which makes it very rare but it still does not sell for a decent premium on the collectors market and consistently sells for less that the Bushmills 21yo which is a travesty but solely down to being too much of it out there in private hands. So you could have your whiskey after 5years and still be sitting on it after 10 further years wondering what to do with it if you don't have a predetermined route to sell it. Which by the way technically & legally you can't do privately for a profit. So your AER of 4% could suddenly be down to well under 1%. People really need to understand the market and what they are getting into.
DavidH wrote:I always make a general point regarding whiskey prices that there is no moral obligation to sell whiskey at an "affordable" price. It's a luxury item. If you charge €1,000 a bottle and sell them all then you charged the right price. If the casks sell at the price they are offered, it's the right price. If €5,000 was small change to me, I'd buy one
I would definitely buy one too if I had the money and might still even do a share in one but my gripe is that this is being sold as an invest-able and to me it is not and I would only be buying it as a wonderful opportunity to buy a new whiskey. I'm trying to highlight to the normal Joe soap not to be woo'ed by the wonderful but misleading examples in the prospectus of Black Bowmore's, 1919 Springbanks and old Macallans being sold at auction as examples of investment potential of whisky. The Irish Whiskey Market is far behind the Scotch Single Malt market in terms of collectable and investment potential. And remember there are 500 "RARE" casks ... so a lot of whiskey ... no matter how rare the opportunity is. And I think that is the nub of this ... it's the opportunity that is rare and not the whiskey.
So to sum up this is probably a good investment if you are in the trade and have an outlet to sell it on. Further if you are a whiskey enthusiast and want a cask of whiskey yes it is an okay buy say over buying 280bottles(cask stength) or 400 bottles @ 40% at retail but not really an investment. However if you are a regular Joe Soap I don't think it is an Investment of any merit as your choices to sell on are very limited and what are you going to do with 280 odd bottles of RARE whiskey. As once the hype of the initial releases come out the market will fall flat and I'd put my cask of Dingle Whiskey on that
And that is my whole point these are being sold as investments and I don't think they are. There are my arguements against and people can take from them what they like with an open mind.
However I do wish to stress that I am not trying to be negative against the project and wish the Dingle Distillery the very best in their endeavours and every success and hopefully I will have a small part in it.
So all I'm saying is Caveat Emptor
And a big Welcome to DingleSpirit it is great to have you on board to give your side and we do appreciate it.